Daniel Kahneman is an Israeli-American psychologist and economist notable for his work on the psychology of judgment and decision-making, as well as behavioral economics, for which he was awarded the 2002 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences.

  • Clinical Versus Statistical Prediction

    This volume explores clinical issues, such as: can we rely on clinical expertise in making decisions about people’s lives; when should statistical data be used; and what kind of treatment is best for a particular patient?

  • Loonshots

    What do James Bond and Lipitor have in common? What can we learn about human nature and world history from a glass of water?,In ,, physicist and entrepreneur Safi Bahcall reveals a surprising new way of thinking about the mysteries of group behavior that challenges everything we thought we knew about nurturing radical breakthroughs.,Drawing on the science of ,, Bahcall shows why teams, companies, or any group with a mission will suddenly change from embracing wild new ideas to rigidly rejecting them, just as flowing water will suddenly change into brittle ice. Mountains of print have been written about ,. ,identifies the small shifts in , that control this transition, the same way that temperature controls the change from water to ice.,Using examples that range from the spread of fires in forests to the hunt for terrorists online, and stories of thieves and geniuses and kings, Bahcall shows how this new kind of science helps us understand the behavior of companies and the fate of empires. ,distills these insights into lessons for creatives, entrepreneurs, and visionaries everywhere.

  • Scarcity

    A surprising and intriguing examination of how scarcity???and our flawed responses to it???shapes our lives, our society, and our culture.,Why do successful people get things done at the last minute? Why does poverty persist? Why do organizations get stuck firefighting? Why do the lonely find it hard to make friends? These questions seem unconnected, yet Sendhil Mullainathan and Eldar Shafir show that they are all examples of a mind-set produced by scarcity.,Drawing on cutting-edge research from behavioral science and economics, Mullainathan and Shafir show that scarcity creates a similar psychology for everyone struggling to manage with less than they need. Busy people fail to manage their time efficiently for the same reasons the poor and those maxed out on credit cards fail to manage their money. The dynamics of scarcity reveal why dieters find it hard to resist temptation, why students and busy executives mismanage their time, and why sugarcane farmers are smarter after harvest than before. Once we start thinking in terms of scarcity and the strategies it imposes, the problems of modern life come into sharper focus.,Mullainathan and Shafir discuss how scarcity affects our daily lives, recounting anecdotes of their own foibles and making surprising connections that bring this research alive. Their book provides a new way of understanding why the poor stay poor and the busy stay busy, and it reveals not only how scarcity leads us astray but also how individuals and organizations can better manage scarcity for greater satisfaction and success.

  • Simpler

    For nearly four years, Cass R. Sunstein, bestselling author and President Obama???s ???Regulatory Czar,??? helped to oversee a revolution in better government. He explains how and why???and what comes next.,The future of government arrived four years ago. Government became simpler, it became smarter, and Cass Sunstein was at the center of it all. Drawing on state-of-the-art work in behavioral psychology and economics, Sunstein, as administrator of the powerful White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA), quietly helped save the nation billions of dollars while preventing thousands of deaths and countless illnesses and accidents. All this was accomplished in part through the extraordinary power of nudges???low-cost, seemingly modest policies that preserve freedom of choice. In combination with smart, disciplined cost-benefit analysis, nudges are simplifying government and making it far more effective.,Twenty-first century insights now inform simplified mortgage and student loan applications, the labeling of food and energy-efficient cars, financial reform, and health care reform. New principles???democratizing data, presenting individuals and businesses with the most salient information, ensuring that the better outcome is the automatic outcome???are transforming government. Countless regulations are being streamlined or eliminated. Transparent review of which rules are working, and which aren???t, is becoming the norm. Citing numerous examples from his years in the first term of the Obama Administration, and projecting forward into a data-driven future, ,provides a new understanding of how government can work.

  • Skin in the Game

    From the , bestselling author of , a bold new work that challenges many of our long-held beliefs about risk and reward, politics and religion, finance and personal responsibility.,In his most provocative and practical book yet, one of the foremost thinkers of our time redefines what it means to understand the world, succeed in a profession, contribute to a fair and just society, detect nonsense, and influence others. Citing examples ranging from Hammurabi to Seneca, Antaeus the Giant to Donald Trump, Nassim Nicholas Taleb shows how the willingness to accept one???s own risks is an essential attribute of heroes, saints, and flourishing people in all walks of life.